Where the Audience Lives: The 2019 Regional Data, in Full
The 2019 audience research mapped its audiences by US census division — not by state — and then layered drinking-behavior indices on top. This page carries the whole layer: the map, the division-by-division pools, and the full index table the summary pages only excerpt.
The Map
The 2019 filtered health target, by U.S. census division
Divisions are drawn schematically, not to cartographic boundaries. Shading is the relative size of the 2019 "health target" — adults 21+ across the Food-Allergy/Gluten-Free, Gluten-Sensitive, and Wellness pools, adjusted for overlap. It is not millennial-filtered; the sizing funnel applies that filter later, which is why the funnel's numbers are much smaller than these. The blue outline marks the five divisions the study flagged as best-fit. Alaska and Hawaii belong to the Pacific division by definition; the study's maps drew the contiguous states.
The tension the map exists to show: the biggest pool is not a focus pick. The South Atlantic holds the largest filtered health target (~3.0M) but indexes low on premium-beer and cider behavior; Mountain holds a third of that (~1.0M) and indexes highest in the country on gluten-free need. Size and fit are different questions — the whole argument of Market Sizing Without Lying to Yourself.
Every Division, Every Pool
The audience pools per division, as the study measured them (millions of adults 21+; pools overlap and are not additive):
| Census division | Adults 21+ | GF / food-allergy | Gluten-sensitive | Wellness | Craft-beer | Health target | Focus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Atlantic | 49M | 0.3M | 1.1M | 2.6M | 2.3M | 3.0M | (scenario B) |
| Pacific | 39M | 0.3M | 0.6M | 1.7M | 2.3M | 1.9M | ● |
| Mid-Atlantic | 33M | 0.2M | 0.5M | 1.4M | 2.1M | 1.6M | ● |
| West South Central | 29M | 0.2M | 0.3M | 1.2M | 1.2M | 1.3M | |
| East North Central | 36M | 0.3M | 0.4M | 0.9M | 1.5M | 1.1M | |
| Mountain | 18M | 0.3M | 0.3M | 0.9M | 0.9M | 1.0M | ● |
| West North Central | 17M | 0.2M | 0.2M | 0.5M | 0.9M | 0.6M | ● |
| East South Central | 15M | 0.08M | 0.3M | 0.5M | 0.5M | 0.6M | |
| New England | 12M | 0.08M | 0.09M | 0.5M | 0.9M | 0.5M | ● |
The Full Index Table
This is the dataset the focus list actually came from, published here in full — the behavioral index of each division (100 = national average; above 100 means the behavior over-indexes there). The summary pages quote the highlights; this is all of it. Bold marks values of 105 and above — our emphasis, applied uniformly:
| Index (100 = US avg) | New England | Mid-Atlantic | South Atlantic | E South Central | W South Central | E North Central | W North Central | Mountain | Pacific |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gluten-free / food allergy | 84 | 84 | 79 | 68 | 84 | 97 | 135 | 198 | 111 |
| Gluten-sensitive | 52 | 94 | 144 | 117 | 68 | 83 | 67 | 106 | 108 |
| Wellness | 98 | 103 | 126 | 80 | 100 | 62 | 74 | 125 | 106 |
| Craft-beer enthusiasm | 155 | 126 | 92 | 69 | 83 | 81 | 100 | 93 | 117 |
| Drinks alcohol | 112 | 110 | 96 | 78 | 90 | 101 | 99 | 87 | 102 |
| Drinks beer | 114 | 107 | 96 | 76 | 93 | 100 | 105 | 85 | 102 |
| Drinks super-premium beer | 163 | 122 | 89 | 73 | 78 | 90 | 106 | 91 | 115 |
| Drinks hard cider | 128 | 118 | 87 | 67 | 75 | 98 | 111 | 114 | 119 |
| Super-premium or cider | 142 | 118 | 89 | 73 | 80 | 93 | 104 | 101 | 116 |
Read down the Mountain column for the sharpest single story in the dataset: the country's highest gluten-free index (198 — nearly double the national average) sitting beside beer drinking slightly below average (85). Dietary need concentrated where beer behavior runs soft — a pool that beer-market data alone would underweight, which is exactly why the study layered health indices over drinking indices instead of reading either one alone.
How the Focus List Was Built
The study's stated logic, reported in full:
- A progressive population filter — 21+, millennial, in a target segment (adjusted for segment overlap) — to size each division's real pool.
- Health characteristics of each division's population.
- Alcohol behavior — especially super-premium beer consumption, the closest proxy for craft-priced gluten-free beer.
- Soft criteria — lifestyle, health orientation, and the location of the brewing facility.
That produced the five focus divisions — New England, Mid-Atlantic, West North Central, Mountain, Pacific — and the two sizing scenarios on the evidence page, which differ only by whether the fifth slot goes to Mountain or to the South Atlantic's raw size.
How to Read This Page
- Illustrative, not current. 2019 planning data: populations have shifted, and the divisions' indices with them. The value is the method — pools × behavior × fit — and the honest picture of how uneven this market is geographically.
- Divisions, not states. Nothing here ranks any single state.
- Pools overlap. One person can sit in three pools; nothing on this page is additive.
- Reported findings, not a dataset. The figures are reported findings of a commissioned study built on licensed MRI (Mediamark) syndicated consumer data. They are published here as the study's findings, with attribution — there is deliberately no CSV or download, and these third-party-derived figures are excluded from this site's CC BY reuse grant. Cite this page, not a dataset.
Related Reading
- What the 2019 Audience Research Found — the full evidence page this map belongs to
- Market Opportunity — the strategic read
- Regional Opportunity — what to do with regional focus
- Market Sizing Without Lying to Yourself — the sizing discipline
Source and Method Notes
All figures transcribed from the Independent Target-Audience Research — MRI Summary (delivered March 12, 2019), census-division map slides and index table. The commissioning details — scoped and approved January 2019, built on MRI (Mediamark Research & Intelligence) syndicated consumer data using MRI's weighted-index method (for each audience segment: the expected number of adults or households, the percentage, and an index against the general population for each measured variable) — come from the signed commissioning scope retained in the Bard's archive, a separate document from the summary itself. The map graphic above is this site's own visualization; division shapes are schematic. The study's own regional slides flagged Pacific, Mountain, West North Central, New England, and Mid-Atlantic as indexing high for super-premium beer consumption, predisposition to drink alcohol, hard-cider drinking, and dietary health needs.